Abiy Ahmed’s Strategic Isolation Is Now in WritingIsraeli Recognition of SomalilandSomalia Scraps UAE Security Deals as Regions Push BackIsrael’s Somaliland Recognition Sparks Legal, Regional, and Security BacklashREDISCOVERING ERITREA: A UN Resident Coordinator’s Testimony of Progress and PotentialSudan at the Crossroads: A Peace Initiative Rooted in Accountability, Not IllusionsWhen Maps Become Messages: Ethiopia’s Dangerous Normalization of Territorial ClaimsEgypt: Cairo Draws Clear Red Lines as Sudan’s War Tightens Its GripEthiopia on the Brink: A Humanitarian Crisis Deepened by Political ChoicesPresident Isaias Afwerki: Ending Sudan War Requires Cutting RSF Supply LinesAbiy Ahmed’s Strategic Isolation Is Now in WritingIsraeli Recognition of SomalilandSomalia Scraps UAE Security Deals as Regions Push BackIsrael’s Somaliland Recognition Sparks Legal, Regional, and Security BacklashREDISCOVERING ERITREA: A UN Resident Coordinator’s Testimony of Progress and PotentialSudan at the Crossroads: A Peace Initiative Rooted in Accountability, Not IllusionsWhen Maps Become Messages: Ethiopia’s Dangerous Normalization of Territorial ClaimsEgypt: Cairo Draws Clear Red Lines as Sudan’s War Tightens Its GripEthiopia on the Brink: A Humanitarian Crisis Deepened by Political ChoicesPresident Isaias Afwerki: Ending Sudan War Requires Cutting RSF Supply Lines
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Ternafi

@Ternafi
Trump Letter

Abiy Ahmed’s Strategic Isolation Is Now in Writing

What Addis Ababa has spent two years denying is now staring it in the face—on White House letterhead. The January 16 letter from  Donald Trump  to  Abdel Fattah el-Sisi  isn’t just about mediation. It’s a signal. Clear, deliberate, and consequential. Washington is aligning itself

Abiy Ahmed map

When Maps Become Messages: Ethiopia’s Dangerous Normalization of Territorial Claims

There are moments in diplomacy when silence is louder than words. And there are moments when a picture—deliberately chosen, officially circulated—does more damage than a thousand speeches. The map displayed this week in a video released by Ethiopia’s Prime Minister’s Office belon

EEBC

Eritrea-Ethiopia Algiers Agreement at 25: International Law Still Stands

Twenty-five years after the signing of the Algiers Agreement, the United Nations Secretary-General has once again urged Eritrea and Ethiopia to “respect the border pact.” On the surface, the message sounds balanced, even responsible. But anniversaries are not just moments for rit

Abiy speaks at the 20th Nations

When the Mask Slips: Abiy Ahmed’s “Lice” Remark and the Language of Future Atrocities

There are moments in political life when a leader inadvertently reveals the architecture of his worldview. Sometimes it comes dressed in eloquence; sometimes it leaks out through a metaphor so coarse, so naked in intent, that it cannot be brushed off as a slip of the tongue. Abiy

AU Fake Fano Peace Deal

The AU’s Ethiopia Problem: How a Continental Body Became a Stage for Manufactured Peace

For anyone who has followed the AU’s behavior over the last two decades, the events of December 4 in Ethiopia were not shocking. They were simply the latest chapter in a long, predictable pattern: the African Union being instrumentalized by whichever Ethiopian government happens

Sudan in ruines

Sudan: A Proxy Machine, a Sub-Imperial Ambition, and a Region Fighting to Stop the Collapse

There are moments in African politics when the truth hides in plain sight, yet the world pretends it sees fog. Sudan’s war is one of them. For nearly two years, analysts have wasted ink debating “complexity,” “dual narratives,” and “moral ambiguity.” It’s nonsense. Strip away the

Western Refugee Politics Turned African States Into Gatekeepers

The Silent Extraction: How Western Refugee Politics Turned African States Into Gatekeepers — and Eritrea Paid the Price

For nearly two decades, the world was fed a simple story: Eritreans were fleeing “en masse,” and neighbouring African states generously opened their doors. In Europe’s capitals, this narrative fit neatly into pre-existing political agendas. But behind the headlines and donor broc

Ethiopia-Copy-Paste-Diplomacy

Copy-Paste Diplomacy: Ethiopia’s ‘Dialogue’ Campaign on Eritrea

Within a few hours this week, a nearly identical paragraph began marching across Ethiopian state-linked accounts on X and Facebook. From the Ethiopian Embassy in Tokyo to embassy pages in Beijing and other missions, from MFA-adjacent pages to partisan activists, the same text app

Ethiopia threatening AU is Silent

Enough Is Enough: Abiy Ahmed’s March Toward War — and the African Union’s Unforgivable Silence

There are moments in African politics when the truth must be said without varnish, without diplomatic hedging, without the cowardice of “neutrality.” We are in one of those moments now. Ethiopia’s rulers — from Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed to his Foreign Minister, generals, propagan

Ethiopian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Gedion Timothewos Hessebon

A Speech Built on Sand: Exposing Ethiopia's FM Gedion Timothewos’s Gaslighting on Eritrea

By any standard of diplomacy, Ethiopian FM Gedion Timothewos’s speech at Addis Ababa University should be taught — not as foreign policy, but as an Olympic-level exercise in historical revisionism, projection, and victim theatrics. He spoke confidently, but confidence does not di

Red Sea Littoral Head of States

Red Sea Doctrine: Littoral States Shut the Door on Expansionism

Cairo was more than a ceremonial trip. When Eritrean President Isaias Afwerki stood beside President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi this November, the message wasn’t about museums or optics — it was a map of how the Red Sea will now be governed. No slogans. No ambiguity. A littoral doctrin

China built headquarters of the AU

The African Union’s Selective Conscience: Silence on Ethiopia, Outrage on Trump

When the African Union (AU) released a full-page statement from Addis Ababa this week condemning a comment made by Donald Trump about Nigeria, it was more than just an exercise in diplomacy — it was a mirror reflecting the organization’s moral bankruptcy. The AU can apparently fi

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