Israel’s decision to deepen formal ties with Somaliland has triggered exactly the kind of regional backlash it should have expected. Somalia has rejected the move as an assault on its sovereignty, while a joint statement by the foreign ministers of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Somalia, S
The mask keeps slipping. A new report by Yale’s Humanitarian Research Lab says it has reached a high-confidence conclusion that military assistance to Sudan’s Rapid Support Forces is taking place inside an Ethiopian National Defense Force base in Asosa, in Ethiopia’s Benishangul-
The African Union Commission has appointed former Tanzanian president Jakaya Mrisho Kikwete as the AU High Representative for the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea, placing a veteran East African statesman at the center of one of the continent’s most sensitive geopolitical files. Th
An opinion piece titled, "Middle East's future may be decided in the Horn of Africa : The Red Sea is becoming the centre of global power." was published on #JerusalemPost on 15 March by Dr Shmuel Legesse . The author is an international educator, community activist, a diplomacy
Washington has finally said it plainly. In a March 19 speech at the Powering Africa Summit, Senior Bureau Official Nick Checker laid out the Trump administration’s Africa policy in language that stripped away much of the old diplomatic wrapping. Africa, in this telling, is no lon
As the Strait of Hormuz buckles under the weight of war, a reckless axis of actors—driven by Abu Dhabi and executed by its clients in Addis Ababa—threatens to turn the Horn of Africa into a global economic catastrophe. At a moment when the Strait of Hormuz is already under severe
As Ethiopia moves into its 2026 election cycle, Tigrayan political actors say siege conditions are tightening again and federal force deployments are pointing toward renewed war. The most serious signal right now is not coming from Addis Ababa’s talking points. It is coming from
The discourses surrounding Eritrea, particularly in mainstream policy and media circles, have too often been stripped of essential context, resulting in a diagnostic failure. To address the symptoms, be it concerns over national service or civil liberties, without a rigorous audi
Abiy Ahmed tried to stage the usual Addis photo-op when Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan arrived. But the camera caught something different: a stiff, guarded prime minister sitting beside a visitor who didn’t look like he came for flattery. What played out at the joint app
The African Union Peace and Security Council (PSC) has issued one of its clearest sovereignty statements on Somalia in years—explicitly condemning Israel’s unilateral recognition of the “so-called Republic of Somaliland,” demanding it be revoked, and warning that no actor has the
What Addis Ababa has spent two years denying is now staring it in the face—on White House letterhead. The January 16 letter from Donald Trump to Abdel Fattah el-Sisi isn’t just about mediation. It’s a signal. Clear, deliberate, and consequential. Washington is aligning itself
A Regional Security Threat and Potential for Destabilisation of the Horn of Africa, the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden Regions and Redrawing the Map of the Horn of Africa On December 26, 2025, the State of Israel announced its formal recognition of the Republic of Somaliland as an
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